I think the likely hood of the resort shutting down is low (at this point), because of the relative humility in the air. Let me explain why. In...
I paid for my trip on credit card miles, I don’t think any of it is refundable. To be realistic, given every other scenario we’ve seen like this,...
For 30 days excluding UK. Source: Trump to suspend travel from Europe, excluding UK, amid coronavirus outbreak
I’m in one of the worst effected areas, I haven’t seen the hysteria at all. Everyone is pretty chill here I don’t watch cable news, what is the...
The US government has approved remdesivir on compassionate use. COVID-19 I bought GILD calls today. Hopefully I works well, helps our at risk,...
Do you have restrictions placed on you, are you in a hot zone? I’m in one of the worst areas in the US and the city has been given guidelines by...
I’m more fascinated by where the messaging breaks down and why people do what they do. At some point, where told by professionals what to do,...
I read that some people think it’s over blown, here is a good, simple image that helps you understand the messaging and why it’s so important....
That’s a good point. The set of data is everything outside of China. I don’t know if smoothes it self out or if you have to sorta normalize the rate
I’m not going to cancel, I’m going to ride or “die” until the late minute.
You guys should keep city assholes like us out, barricade the interstate. Tomorrow we’ll see what they’re going to do about our situation....
Yea, People live in nursing homes. Are you more worried about yourself? Because if you get sick you’re likely to spread it to 4 people. This...
It is never time to panic. The data set doesn't contain the nursing home ( it was 20 days ago). We aren't testing people fast enough and know...
If that happens, You don’t have anything to worry about, because the travel plans will be changed for you :)
Adam Kucharski on Twitter <- This is a thread from a Mathematician and epidemiologist. The thread explains the calculation of the fatality rate...
They've implemented a containment zone in New Rochelle, NY. I'm in another bad spot on the other coast, but its mostly tech workers here, so...
That just doesn't work and its not a matter of my opinion. Unless you can show me a model where it does. Anything that models a RO >3.6 (Basic...
Someone should call the CDC, this needs to be added to their guidelines.
To me ‘focus’ on high risk people, that’s ambiguous. What is meant there? If people don’t lock down and it does spread then it’s an endemic...
Which version of H1N1? The Spanish flu saw a one percent death rate. 2009 Swine flu: 0.01-0.08. Corona is batting at 3%. I think sometimes...
