Cancun Covid 19 Update

Discussion in 'Free For All' started by Steve, Mar 24, 2020.

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  1. Steve

    Steve Administrator Owner

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    April 15

    Negative Cases +20
    Tests in Process -26
    Positive Cases +24
    Deaths +3
    Recovered No Change
    Total Positive in Cancun Area +18

    covid.jpg
     
  2. Steve

    Steve Administrator Owner

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    April 16

    Negative Cases +16
    Tests in Process No Change
    Positive Cases +10
    Deaths +1
    Recovered No Change
    Total Positive in Cancun Area +6

    covid.jpg
     
    Last edited: Apr 17, 2020
  3. Steve

    Steve Administrator Owner

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    April 17

    Negative Cases +11
    Tests in Process +36
    Positive Cases +1
    Deaths +2
    Recovered No Change
    Total Positive in Cancun Area No Change

    covid.jpg
     
  4. Steve

    Steve Administrator Owner

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    April 18

    Negative Cases +24
    Tests in Process -20
    Positive Cases +37
    Deaths +2
    Recovered +3
    Total Positive in Cancun Area +23

    covid.jpg
     
  5. Jen&Kyle

    Jen&Kyle I can choose my own title Registered Member

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    When they only test 61 people and of those 61 37 are positive it tells me they are not testing enough people and it is a lot more widespread than the numbers show. Maybe they are not as behind the curve as the original assumptions.
     
  6. Steve

    Steve Administrator Owner

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    There's a worldwide shortage of test kits, and they're not cheap (for a country like Mexico). Testing is only done for those who have severe symptoms, the same as most countries were doing up until very recently.

    Perhaps there just isn't that many people with severe symptoms?

    Maybe they should test more people with no symptoms just so the percentage of positives goes down? :)

    At the end of the day the only true measure of the virus is the number of deaths. With 16 out of a Million population (Benito Juarez) over the last month, it's not a huge amount and seems to be pretty constant with 2-3 per day
     
    Last edited: Apr 18, 2020
  7. matchandherbetterhalf

    matchandherbetterhalf I can choose my own title Registered Member

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    Only if the Covid deaths are attributed to Covid.
     
  8. Restling

    Restling I can choose my own title Registered Member

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    I don’t think that a problem in the states. It seems like that’s the default way they count them, even if they had many underlying conditions.
     
  9. Len from the Floor

    Len from the Floor Addict Registered Member

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    Two comments - First - even if there are severe underlying conditions that would have lead to death in the near term, the virus in many cases is accelerating that death, so IMHO it still counts. Plus, the way they are dying (no family at bedside, no funerals and the awful way the disease affects the lungs etc) would simply not have happened if the virus had not intervened. So, again in my opinion, it is more then valid to count them as being caused by the virus. Second- even if you think there is an over counting due to underlying conditions, it is pretty clear to me that there is an even larger undercounting - people that die at home, people who die but were never tested and more.
     
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  10. Restling

    Restling I can choose my own title Registered Member

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    You're probably correct.

    Not sure how no family at bedside, and no funerals get mixed into a stats post, but certainly does make the point that this is a horrible time. I went to a funeral of a high school friend a week ago. They only allowed 6 people in the room at a time, and we were separated from the family by a table, and no touching was allowed. I hate funerals, and that made it even more uncomfortable.

    In our tech modern world we all want stats very quickly, and accurately. We keep getting told we need to "flatten the curve", but in actually it's just shown as a generic graph, no real numbers are put on in.

    I don't dispute that the actual death counts are inaccurate. What is certainly the most inaccurate is the total number exposed, or affected that are asymptomatic. A number that would likely put a positive spin to where we currently are.
     
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